Crop Progress: Report Neutral for Corn
(DTN) Corn planting has finally caught up with the five-year average pace and emergence trails the average by only 5 percentage points, according to USDA's Crop Progress report for the week ended June 12. Hard to say how many of those acres might be threatened by the flooding Missouri River and its tributaries. But according to the government, the seed is at least in the ground.
DTN Senior Analyst Darin Newsom, however, points out that Ohio's planting pace is only 57%, compared to an average of 97%. And corn condition remains worse than last year.
"The weekly DTN Crop Condition Index for corn (based on USDA numbers) increased to 168 points from last week's 165 points, but continues to trail last year's index of 185 points," Newsom said. "These progress and condition numbers will likely be viewed as neutral for the corn market with few surprises noted."
Soybean planting trails the average pace by only 2 percentage points, while emergence is 12 percentage points behind normal.
Again, Newsom points out the biggest lag is in Ohio where progress was pegged at 77% as compared to its five-year average of 94%.
"Based on the weekly NASS numbers, the initial DTN Crop Condition Index for soybeans was calculated at 166 points, trailing last year's initial index rating of 177 points," Newsom said. "This report could be viewed as neutral to slightly bullish for soybeans Tuesday."
Regarding wheat, Newsom said, "It's interesting to note that winter wheat headed of 85% is running behind the five-year average of 91%, as compared to the winter wheat harvested of 22% running ahead of the five-year average of 13%.
"Harvest is well ahead of average pace in North Carolina (69% to 29%) and Oklahoma (83% to 43%). Harvest progressing this quickly would seem to confirm the DTN Crop Condition Index that showed a historically low number for winter wheat throughout the growing season.
"Spring wheat plantings of 88% continue to lag the five-year average of 100%, with North Dakota (82%) and Montana (83%) struggling toward the finish line. Given the slow pace of plantings, it isn't surprising that spring wheat emerged (73%) is well behind the average pace (97%).
"The initial DTN Crop Condition Index rating for spring wheat is calculated at 175 points, a solid number but still well behind last year's initial index rating of 201 points. This report could be viewed as neutral to bullish for wheat Tuesday."
The following are highlights from weekly crop progress reports issued Monday by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states. To view the full reports from each state, visit bit.ly/…
Colorado
Temperatures in Colorado continue to stay above average with below-average precipitation. Overall, mountain snowpack jumped to 243% of average. Potential for flooding from snowmelt is a concern as temperatures warm up in the high country. Farmers were allowed 6.7 days in the field for spring operations last week. Statewide, topsoil moisture was rated 10% very short, 20% short, 68% adequate and 2% surplus. Subsoil moisture was rated 12% very short, 23% short, 61% adequate and 4% surplus. Winter wheat was 94% headed with 20% turning color at the end of last week. The crop is rated in mostly good to fair condition. Spring wheat was 98% emerged with 3% headed and rated in mostly fair to good condition. Corn was 90% emerged last week with the crop rated in mostly good condition.
Illinois
With 4.5 days suitable for field work, some farmers were able to finally finish planting/re-planting, while others were out spraying herbicides. There are several reports of yellow spotting on corn and beans in areas where standing water was previously present. Topsoil moisture was 1% very short, 4% short, 69% adequate and 26% surplus. Corn planted increased to 99%, of which 97% is now emerged. Soybeans planted jumped to 92%, up from 78% planted the previous week and above the five-year average of 84%. Seventy-six percent of soybeans have now emerged compared to 53% the previous week.
Indiana
The week began extremely hot and rain free, allowing some fields to be planted that have been too wet all spring. There were 5.2 days suitable for field work. Ninety-six percent of the intended corn acreage has been planted compared with 100% last year and 98% for the five-year average. Eighty-one percent of the corn acreage has emerged compared with 96% last year and 92% for the five-year average. Seventy-eight percent of the intended soybean acreage has been planted compared with 87% last year and 86% for the five-year average. Fifty-four percent of the soybean acreage has emerged compared with 78% last year and 73% for the five-year average.
Iowa
Common activities this week included spraying, side-dressing nitrogen, and cutting and baling hay before precipitation moved in at midweek. There were 4.1 days suitable for field work statewide during the past week. Topsoil moisture levels rated 0% very short, 3% short, 73% adequate and 24% surplus. Subsoil moisture rated 0% very short, 2% short, 74% adequate, and 24% surplus. Little corn acreage remains to be planted and almost all the crop has emerged. Corn condition is reported at 1% very poor, 1% poor, 14% fair, 60% good and 24% excellent. Soybean planting is 98% complete, slightly ahead of the previous year and the five-year average. Ninety-two percent of the state's soybean crop has emerged, marginally ahead of last year's 91% and ahead of the five-year average of 88%. Soybean condition is reported at 0% very poor, 2% poor, 16% fair, 61% good and 21% excellent.
Kansas
Producers across Kansas experienced unseasonably hot temperatures and scattered precipitation last week as wheat harvest began and row-crop planting continued. Farmers averaged 5.9 days suitable for field work last week, as topsoil moisture supplies declined to 20% very short, 23% short, 54% adequate, and 3% surplus. The Kansas subsoil moisture supplies were rated 23% very short, 24% short, 52% adequate and 1% surplus. The Kansas winter wheat harvest began in earnest as 11% of the crop has been harvested, well ahead of 1% last year and the five-year average of 5%. The crop is maturing rapidly with the hot weather as 79% of crop has turned color, a 29-point increase from the previous week and ahead of both last year at 73% and the five-year average of 76%. Thirty-four percent of the wheat acreage was mature, ahead of 24% the previous year and 23% for the five-year average. Ninety-eight percent of the corn crop has emerged, compared to 97% last year but the same as the five-year average. The crop condition was rated 1% very poor, 5% poor, 36% fair, 52% good, and 6% excellent. The dry week helped soybean farmers to plant 17% of the acreage last week, with 85% of the crop now planted, ahead of last year at 83% and the five-year average of 79%. Sixty-five percent has emerged, ahead of 2010 at 64% and the five-year average of 63%, while the condition was rated 1% very poor, 3% poor, 39% fair, 51% good and 6% excellent.
Minnesota
Limited precipitation allowed planting to near completion for several crops. Six days were rated suitable for field work statewide, the highest number so far this year. Topsoil moisture supplies rated surplus were 14%, a decline of 30 percentage points from the previous week. Corn is mostly planted, 90% emerged and averaged 7 inches tall as of Sunday. Soybeans planted jumped 19 points to 94% complete. Soybeans emerged gained 29 points to 67%, compared to 94% last year and 90% for the five-year average. The first soybean condition ratings of the season were 3% poor, 21% fair, 63% good and 13% excellent.
Missouri
Field preparation, planting and replanting continued in full force as dry weather pushed farmers to take advantage of the 5.7 days suitable for field work. Warm weather and little precipitation reduced statewide topsoil moisture supply to 2% very short, 21% short, 65% adequate and 12% surplus. Corn emergence was 97%, 3 days ahead of last year, and 11 days ahead of the five-year historic average (normal). Although the weather was warmer than average, corn condition was 2% very poor, 6% poor, 30% fair, 52% good, and 10% excellent. Soybeans progressed 18 points from last week to 77% planted, 6 days ahead of 2010 and 5 days ahead of normal. Emergence was 58%, nearly the same as last year and normal. Soybean condition was 4% poor, 31% fair, 59% good and 6% excellent.
Nebraska
Warm, dry temperatures early in the week boosted crop development and provided an opportunity for hay crops to be harvested. There were 5.5 days suitable for field work. Statewide, topsoil moisture was rated 1% very short, 10% short, 81% adequate and 8% surplus. Subsoil moisture was rated 1% very short, 10% short, 84% adequate and 5% surplus. Corn condition rated 0% very poor, 2% poor, 24% fair, 65% good and 9% excellent. Corn emerged was at 98%, the same as last year and average. Soybean condition rated 1% very poor, 2% poor, 22% fair, 68% good, and 7% excellent. Soybean planting was 98% complete, ahead of 96% last year and average. Soybeans emerged was 84%, near last year's 83% and 86% average. Wheat conditions rated 1% very poor, 11% poor,
30% fair, 50% good and 8% excellent, below last year's 74% good to excellent but near 57% average. Wheat headed was 81%, behind last year's 84% and 92% average. Wheat was just beginning to turn color in southern counties and was 4% statewide, behind 12% last year and 9 days behind 26% average.
North Dakota
A second consecutive week of favorable weather advanced crop progress across much of the state, and farmers had 4.9 days suitable for field work. Topsoil moisture supplies were rated 1% short, 58% adequate and 41% surplus while subsoil moisture supplies were rated 54% adequate and 46 surplus. Spring and durum wheat were 82% and 39% planted, and 64% and 25% emerged, respectively. Spring wheat was 4% jointed. Canola was 72% planted, compared to 99% at this point last year and 98% average. Canola was 50% emerged. Corn was 96% planted and reached 74% emerged, an increase of 19 percentage points from last week. Soybeans were 80% planted and 35% emerged, both behind last year and the five-year average.
Ohio
Reporters rated 5.5 days suitable for field work during the seven-day period ending Friday, June 10. Topsoil moisture was rated 0% very short, 9% short, 75% adequate and 16% surplus. As of Sunday, June 12, corn was 97% planted. Corn emerged was 57%, compared to 96% last year and 97% for the five-year average. Seventy-seven percent of soybeans were planted, eight percentage points behind last year and 17% behind the five-year average. Twenty-nine percent of soybeans were emerged, compared to 75% last year and 83% for the five-year average.
Oklahoma
Oklahoma had not published its crop progress report as of this posting.
South Dakota
Drier weather conditions this past week allowed for 5.3 days suitable for field work in the past seven days. Drier weather conditions aided farmers to make extensive progress on planting soybean acres, ending the week with 83% of the crop planted, just shy of the five-year average of 90%. Ninety-eight percent of the corn is now planted, catching up with the five-year average of 99%, and 82% has emerged. Spring wheat is 16% in boot stage, behind last year's average of 59%, and only 2% headed compared to 16% last year. Winter wheat also lags with 37% headed, still considerably behind the previous year of 75%.
Texas
Areas of the Low Plains and East Texas received up to 2 inches of rainfall, the Trans-Pecos and the Upper Coast received up to 0.25 inch of rainfall, while the rest of the state observed little to no moisture. Ninety-six percent of the corn crop had emerged as of Sunday, compared to the 99% five-year average. Silking has started in 51% of the crop, which is slightly ahead of the five-year average of 50%. Soybeans are 98% planted and 97% emerged, about even with average, and 38% is blooming compared to the 21% five-year average. All of the winter wheat has headed, and harvest is 46% complete, which is ahead of the average harvest pace of 35% complete.
Wisconsin
High temperatures during the beginning of the past week supported crop emergence and growth. An extreme fluctuation in weather this past week permitted 5.3 days suitable for field work. Soil moisture was rated 15% short, 78% adequate and 7% surplus. Corn planting was nearing completion this past week with 98% planted statewide. The favorable heat aided emergence, totaling 83% across the state. A few soybeans were still reported as being put in as planting was 91% complete across the state, compared to 75% last week. Soybeans were reported as 64% emerged, jumping 29 percentage points from the previous week.
http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com/
DTN Senior Analyst Darin Newsom, however, points out that Ohio's planting pace is only 57%, compared to an average of 97%. And corn condition remains worse than last year.
"The weekly DTN Crop Condition Index for corn (based on USDA numbers) increased to 168 points from last week's 165 points, but continues to trail last year's index of 185 points," Newsom said. "These progress and condition numbers will likely be viewed as neutral for the corn market with few surprises noted."
Soybean planting trails the average pace by only 2 percentage points, while emergence is 12 percentage points behind normal.
Again, Newsom points out the biggest lag is in Ohio where progress was pegged at 77% as compared to its five-year average of 94%.
"Based on the weekly NASS numbers, the initial DTN Crop Condition Index for soybeans was calculated at 166 points, trailing last year's initial index rating of 177 points," Newsom said. "This report could be viewed as neutral to slightly bullish for soybeans Tuesday."
Regarding wheat, Newsom said, "It's interesting to note that winter wheat headed of 85% is running behind the five-year average of 91%, as compared to the winter wheat harvested of 22% running ahead of the five-year average of 13%.
"Harvest is well ahead of average pace in North Carolina (69% to 29%) and Oklahoma (83% to 43%). Harvest progressing this quickly would seem to confirm the DTN Crop Condition Index that showed a historically low number for winter wheat throughout the growing season.
"Spring wheat plantings of 88% continue to lag the five-year average of 100%, with North Dakota (82%) and Montana (83%) struggling toward the finish line. Given the slow pace of plantings, it isn't surprising that spring wheat emerged (73%) is well behind the average pace (97%).
"The initial DTN Crop Condition Index rating for spring wheat is calculated at 175 points, a solid number but still well behind last year's initial index rating of 201 points. This report could be viewed as neutral to bullish for wheat Tuesday."
The following are highlights from weekly crop progress reports issued Monday by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states. To view the full reports from each state, visit bit.ly/…
Colorado
Temperatures in Colorado continue to stay above average with below-average precipitation. Overall, mountain snowpack jumped to 243% of average. Potential for flooding from snowmelt is a concern as temperatures warm up in the high country. Farmers were allowed 6.7 days in the field for spring operations last week. Statewide, topsoil moisture was rated 10% very short, 20% short, 68% adequate and 2% surplus. Subsoil moisture was rated 12% very short, 23% short, 61% adequate and 4% surplus. Winter wheat was 94% headed with 20% turning color at the end of last week. The crop is rated in mostly good to fair condition. Spring wheat was 98% emerged with 3% headed and rated in mostly fair to good condition. Corn was 90% emerged last week with the crop rated in mostly good condition.
Illinois
With 4.5 days suitable for field work, some farmers were able to finally finish planting/re-planting, while others were out spraying herbicides. There are several reports of yellow spotting on corn and beans in areas where standing water was previously present. Topsoil moisture was 1% very short, 4% short, 69% adequate and 26% surplus. Corn planted increased to 99%, of which 97% is now emerged. Soybeans planted jumped to 92%, up from 78% planted the previous week and above the five-year average of 84%. Seventy-six percent of soybeans have now emerged compared to 53% the previous week.
Indiana
The week began extremely hot and rain free, allowing some fields to be planted that have been too wet all spring. There were 5.2 days suitable for field work. Ninety-six percent of the intended corn acreage has been planted compared with 100% last year and 98% for the five-year average. Eighty-one percent of the corn acreage has emerged compared with 96% last year and 92% for the five-year average. Seventy-eight percent of the intended soybean acreage has been planted compared with 87% last year and 86% for the five-year average. Fifty-four percent of the soybean acreage has emerged compared with 78% last year and 73% for the five-year average.
Iowa
Common activities this week included spraying, side-dressing nitrogen, and cutting and baling hay before precipitation moved in at midweek. There were 4.1 days suitable for field work statewide during the past week. Topsoil moisture levels rated 0% very short, 3% short, 73% adequate and 24% surplus. Subsoil moisture rated 0% very short, 2% short, 74% adequate, and 24% surplus. Little corn acreage remains to be planted and almost all the crop has emerged. Corn condition is reported at 1% very poor, 1% poor, 14% fair, 60% good and 24% excellent. Soybean planting is 98% complete, slightly ahead of the previous year and the five-year average. Ninety-two percent of the state's soybean crop has emerged, marginally ahead of last year's 91% and ahead of the five-year average of 88%. Soybean condition is reported at 0% very poor, 2% poor, 16% fair, 61% good and 21% excellent.
Kansas
Producers across Kansas experienced unseasonably hot temperatures and scattered precipitation last week as wheat harvest began and row-crop planting continued. Farmers averaged 5.9 days suitable for field work last week, as topsoil moisture supplies declined to 20% very short, 23% short, 54% adequate, and 3% surplus. The Kansas subsoil moisture supplies were rated 23% very short, 24% short, 52% adequate and 1% surplus. The Kansas winter wheat harvest began in earnest as 11% of the crop has been harvested, well ahead of 1% last year and the five-year average of 5%. The crop is maturing rapidly with the hot weather as 79% of crop has turned color, a 29-point increase from the previous week and ahead of both last year at 73% and the five-year average of 76%. Thirty-four percent of the wheat acreage was mature, ahead of 24% the previous year and 23% for the five-year average. Ninety-eight percent of the corn crop has emerged, compared to 97% last year but the same as the five-year average. The crop condition was rated 1% very poor, 5% poor, 36% fair, 52% good, and 6% excellent. The dry week helped soybean farmers to plant 17% of the acreage last week, with 85% of the crop now planted, ahead of last year at 83% and the five-year average of 79%. Sixty-five percent has emerged, ahead of 2010 at 64% and the five-year average of 63%, while the condition was rated 1% very poor, 3% poor, 39% fair, 51% good and 6% excellent.
Minnesota
Limited precipitation allowed planting to near completion for several crops. Six days were rated suitable for field work statewide, the highest number so far this year. Topsoil moisture supplies rated surplus were 14%, a decline of 30 percentage points from the previous week. Corn is mostly planted, 90% emerged and averaged 7 inches tall as of Sunday. Soybeans planted jumped 19 points to 94% complete. Soybeans emerged gained 29 points to 67%, compared to 94% last year and 90% for the five-year average. The first soybean condition ratings of the season were 3% poor, 21% fair, 63% good and 13% excellent.
Missouri
Field preparation, planting and replanting continued in full force as dry weather pushed farmers to take advantage of the 5.7 days suitable for field work. Warm weather and little precipitation reduced statewide topsoil moisture supply to 2% very short, 21% short, 65% adequate and 12% surplus. Corn emergence was 97%, 3 days ahead of last year, and 11 days ahead of the five-year historic average (normal). Although the weather was warmer than average, corn condition was 2% very poor, 6% poor, 30% fair, 52% good, and 10% excellent. Soybeans progressed 18 points from last week to 77% planted, 6 days ahead of 2010 and 5 days ahead of normal. Emergence was 58%, nearly the same as last year and normal. Soybean condition was 4% poor, 31% fair, 59% good and 6% excellent.
Nebraska
Warm, dry temperatures early in the week boosted crop development and provided an opportunity for hay crops to be harvested. There were 5.5 days suitable for field work. Statewide, topsoil moisture was rated 1% very short, 10% short, 81% adequate and 8% surplus. Subsoil moisture was rated 1% very short, 10% short, 84% adequate and 5% surplus. Corn condition rated 0% very poor, 2% poor, 24% fair, 65% good and 9% excellent. Corn emerged was at 98%, the same as last year and average. Soybean condition rated 1% very poor, 2% poor, 22% fair, 68% good, and 7% excellent. Soybean planting was 98% complete, ahead of 96% last year and average. Soybeans emerged was 84%, near last year's 83% and 86% average. Wheat conditions rated 1% very poor, 11% poor,
30% fair, 50% good and 8% excellent, below last year's 74% good to excellent but near 57% average. Wheat headed was 81%, behind last year's 84% and 92% average. Wheat was just beginning to turn color in southern counties and was 4% statewide, behind 12% last year and 9 days behind 26% average.
North Dakota
A second consecutive week of favorable weather advanced crop progress across much of the state, and farmers had 4.9 days suitable for field work. Topsoil moisture supplies were rated 1% short, 58% adequate and 41% surplus while subsoil moisture supplies were rated 54% adequate and 46 surplus. Spring and durum wheat were 82% and 39% planted, and 64% and 25% emerged, respectively. Spring wheat was 4% jointed. Canola was 72% planted, compared to 99% at this point last year and 98% average. Canola was 50% emerged. Corn was 96% planted and reached 74% emerged, an increase of 19 percentage points from last week. Soybeans were 80% planted and 35% emerged, both behind last year and the five-year average.
Ohio
Reporters rated 5.5 days suitable for field work during the seven-day period ending Friday, June 10. Topsoil moisture was rated 0% very short, 9% short, 75% adequate and 16% surplus. As of Sunday, June 12, corn was 97% planted. Corn emerged was 57%, compared to 96% last year and 97% for the five-year average. Seventy-seven percent of soybeans were planted, eight percentage points behind last year and 17% behind the five-year average. Twenty-nine percent of soybeans were emerged, compared to 75% last year and 83% for the five-year average.
Oklahoma
Oklahoma had not published its crop progress report as of this posting.
South Dakota
Drier weather conditions this past week allowed for 5.3 days suitable for field work in the past seven days. Drier weather conditions aided farmers to make extensive progress on planting soybean acres, ending the week with 83% of the crop planted, just shy of the five-year average of 90%. Ninety-eight percent of the corn is now planted, catching up with the five-year average of 99%, and 82% has emerged. Spring wheat is 16% in boot stage, behind last year's average of 59%, and only 2% headed compared to 16% last year. Winter wheat also lags with 37% headed, still considerably behind the previous year of 75%.
Texas
Areas of the Low Plains and East Texas received up to 2 inches of rainfall, the Trans-Pecos and the Upper Coast received up to 0.25 inch of rainfall, while the rest of the state observed little to no moisture. Ninety-six percent of the corn crop had emerged as of Sunday, compared to the 99% five-year average. Silking has started in 51% of the crop, which is slightly ahead of the five-year average of 50%. Soybeans are 98% planted and 97% emerged, about even with average, and 38% is blooming compared to the 21% five-year average. All of the winter wheat has headed, and harvest is 46% complete, which is ahead of the average harvest pace of 35% complete.
Wisconsin
High temperatures during the beginning of the past week supported crop emergence and growth. An extreme fluctuation in weather this past week permitted 5.3 days suitable for field work. Soil moisture was rated 15% short, 78% adequate and 7% surplus. Corn planting was nearing completion this past week with 98% planted statewide. The favorable heat aided emergence, totaling 83% across the state. A few soybeans were still reported as being put in as planting was 91% complete across the state, compared to 75% last week. Soybeans were reported as 64% emerged, jumping 29 percentage points from the previous week.
http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com/
Comments