Farmers plant more corn than expected

Soggy weather did not deter farmers from planting corn this spring as this morning's 2009 USDA Acreage Report estimated that 87.04 million acres of corn are planted, which is the second largest corn planting since 1946. The corn number was 2.9 million acres above the 84.16 million acre consensus estimate and 2 million acres more than USDA's March 31 estimate.

The USDA also reported that 77.48 million acres of soybeans have been planted, 1.46 million acres more than the March 31 estimate. As for spring wheat, 13.77 million acres are planted which is .47 million acres more than the prior estimate.

Grain prices were sharply lower today (corn down almost 8% and triggered the daily trading limit of 30 cents) as the planted acres forecast was considerably higher than the consensus estimate and recent weather conditions in the Midwest have been favorable. Investors had anticipated a significant reduction in the corn crop acreage due to the wet spring, but the USDA said weather in late May allowed farmers to make swift planting progress.

Despite the large increase in planted acres, supplies will still be constrained. We expect the market to now be focused on yields for the remainder of the summer. It is one thing to get the corn in the ground, another to grow it and get it in the bins come Fall.

- Colvin

 

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